boston celtics x lakers do dia 05/12/2025 Preview: Predictions, Likely Lineups, and Complete Analysis

As a sports journalist, I closely follow every detail of the teams that take the court, analyzing form, tactics, absences, and the behind-the-scenes atmosphere. In this article, I share my complete and up-to-date analysis of the matchup, focusing on the teams' current moment and the confirmed absences for the game on December 5, 2025. My goal is to deliver original, transparent, and in-depth content.If this content helps you, I sincerely ask you to share the article with other basketball lovers. Your support makes all the difference.

Pre-Game Analysis: How the Teams ArriveThe match takes place at a challenging time for both teams, who are dealing with significant injuries. The Celtics currently have a record of 10 wins and 8 losses, while the Lakers are doing better, with 13 wins and 4 losses.

Home Team's Moment (Boston Celtics)The home team, the Boston Celtics (10W-8L), is going through a period of tactical readjustment. The team suffered from the departure of key players like Kristaps Porziņģis, Jrue Holiday, and Al Horford in the offseason and faces a major absence: Jayson Tatum is out for the entire 2025-26 season due to a ruptured Achilles tendon from last season's playoffs. Joe Mazzulla's team has shown:

• Dependence on Jaylen Brown for scoring and offensive leadership.

• Vulnerability in the paint after the offseason departures.

• A search for consistency with new players like Anfernee Simons and Chris Boucher on the roster.

Visiting Team's Moment (Los Angeles Lakers)The visitor, the Los Angeles Lakers (13W-4L), arrives with a strong roster and the addition of Luka Dončić and Deandre Ayton in the 2025 offseason. However, the team is dealing with physical problems:

• Confirmed absence: Center Deandre Ayton is out with a right knee contusion.

• LeBron James and Luka Dončić are healthy and leading the team.

• Defensive adjustments in individual marking and a focus on playmaking by Dončić.

Probable Lineups for the GameBased on the information gathered and the current status of the players for the game at TD Garden:

Probable Boston Celtics (Home) Lineup

• Point Guard (PG): Payton Pritchard

• Shooting Guard (SG): Derrick White

• Small Forward (SF): Jaylen Brown

• Power Forward (PF): Jordan Walsh

• Center (C): Neemias Queta

• Coach: Joe Mazzulla

Probable Los Angeles Lakers (Visitor) Lineup

• Point Guard (PG): Luka Dončić

• Shooting Guard (SG): Austin Reaves

• Small Forward (SF): LeBron James

• Power Forward (PF): Rui Hachimura

• Center (C): Jaxson Hayes (replacing Ayton)

• Coach: Darvin Ham (or JJ Redick, depending on coaching changes during the season)

Team Comparison Table/SpreadsheetBelow, I've put together a comparative "spreadsheet" with key indicators, reflecting the current moment of the 2025/26 season:

Indicator (Season Average)	Celtics (Home)	Lakers (Visitor)
Average points scored	~115 ppg	~118 ppg
Average points conceded	~110 ppg	~114 ppg
Season Win Percentage	55.6% (10W-8L)	76.5% (13W-4L)
Main Absences (current)	Jayson Tatum (Out for Season)	Deandre Ayton (Out)
Predominant Style	Collective/Defensive	Physical/Star-Dependent

Game Prediction (My Personal Analysis)Given the teams' current moment and the absences, the technical advantage leans towards the Lakers, who have their healthy stars on the court. The absence of Jayson Tatum for the entire season is a hard blow for Boston.

Final PredictionBoston Celtics 105 x 112 Los Angeles Lakers

I see the Lakers controlling the pace of the game, exploiting the absence of a dominant big man in the Celtics and dominating with Luka Dončić's playmaking. The Celtics' defense, although solid, will have difficulties containing the firepower of Dončić and LeBron James.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Who is the favorite to win?Based on the current rosters and season performance, the Los Angeles Lakers are the favorite to win this match.

Which player could be decisive?My highlight goes to Luka Dončić (Lakers), who will have to dictate the pace and score consistently. For the Celtics, Jaylen Brown is the main offensive and defensive hope in Tatum's absence.

What are the main absences?The main absence for the Celtics is Jayson Tatum (out for the season), while the Lakers will be without Deandre Ayton (out due to injury).

Is this a game for many points?My analysis indicates a medium-scoring game. The Celtics' defense is good, but the Lakers' offense with Dončić and LeBron is efficient enough for a decent score.

Best Betting Picks Spreadsheet: Celtics vs Lakers (12/05/2025)As a sports journalist and analyst, I use performance data, statistics, and injury news to formulate the most likely predictions. With the absences of Jayson Tatum (Celtics) and Deandre Ayton (Lakers), the betting market becomes more volatile. The predictions below focus on events with a higher probability of success, based on my analysis for December 5, 2025.

Below is a spreadsheet with the best picks, the corresponding betting market, the suggested pick, and the estimated probability of occurrence.

Betting Market	Suggested Pick	Probability of Occurrence (%)	Analytical Justification
Game Winner (Moneyline)	Los Angeles Lakers Win (ML)	65%	Healthier and more talented roster (Dončić and LeBron) on the court, exploiting the absence of Tatum and a dominant center in the Celtics.
Total Points (Over/Under)	Under 225.5 points	60%	Jayson Tatum's absence reduces the Celtics' offensive potential, and Boston's defense is historically strong, which should control the pace.
Point Spread (Handicap)	Los Angeles Lakers -4.5	58%	A win by a comfortable margin (5 or more points) is likely, given the Lakers' current superiority over a depleted Boston team.
Player Performance (Specific)	Luka Dončić (Over 32.5 points)	70%	Dončić is the Lakers' main scorer and will have to carry the offense. This is a very strong pick given his current form.
Player Performance (Specific)	Jaylen Brown (Over 28.5 points)	63%	Brown is the Celtics' remaining main star and will be the focus of the attack. He is expected to take many shots.

My Final Betting AnalysisThe scenario for this game points to a Lakers victory. The bet on the Moneyline for the Lakers to win is the one I consider safest (65% probability).

For a higher risk/reward pick, the bet on Luka Dončić's individual performance (Over 32.5 points) is excellent, as he becomes the Lakers' main offensive focus.

Always remember to bet responsibly.

Conclusion: My Final View on the MatchupBased on everything I've analyzed — current form, statistics, and crucial absences — I see a game where the Lakers' individual talent should overcome the Celtics' collective resilience. My goal here was to deliver original, in-depth, and truly useful content for those seeking reliable information before the game.

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